24-Team: CFP Plan
A 24-team playoff the way the CFP looks set to build it: Power 4 champions, one Group of Six champion and 19 at-large teams.
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24-team bracket: CFP plan
The CFP plan: the SEC, Big Ten, ACC and Big 12 champions and the highest-ranked Group of Six champion get automatic bids, and 19 at-large teams fill the field by ranking. Notre Dame gets no special treatment. Each conference champion is the team that won that conference most often in the simulations. Seeds follow the projected ranking; seeds 1–8 get byes and first-round games are on the higher seed’s campus. In each game the team the model favors advances, with its chance of winning shown.
The field
How each team got in, its projected final ranking, and how often it made this field and earned a bye across all simulated seasons. Click a team for its full odds.
On the bubble
Teams outside the projected field with the best chance to make it, from every simulated season.
Group of Six race
One bid goes to the highest-ranked champion of the American, Conference USA, MAC, Mountain West, Pac-12 and Sun Belt.